
Explore the Text Exercises with Answers
1. Read and study the text and the definition of population growth rate and answer the following
questions.
- What does population growth rate measure? [Population growth rate (PGR) is the
increase in a countrys population during a period of time, usually one year,
expressed as a percentage of the population at the start of that period. It reflects the
number of births and deaths during a period and the number of people migrating to and from
a country.]
- If you wanted to get an accurate picture of population growth trends in a country, would
you look at the average annual growth rate for a single year, or for a period of years? [a
period of years] Explain why. [Looking at growth rates over a period of years helps
to counteract any uncommon short term events that might give an inaccurate picture of
population trends. For example an epidemic, famine, or war could cause a significant drop
in PGR one year, but the change would not be due to any long term shift in peoples
behavior, and therefore would not be as pronounced if looked at over a 10 or 15 year
period.]
2. Answer each of the following questions briefly, referring back to the text if necessary.
- Why have death rates and birth rates declined? [Death rates have declined largely
because people have more access to better health care and better nutrition. Birth rates
have declined because parents are more confident that their children will live to
adulthood; more people have access to family planning; and more girls are receiving basic
educations, and are choosing to start their families later in life and to have fewer,
healthier children.]
- What causes population momentum? What are its consequences? [Population momentum
occurs when a population consists of a large number of young people who are at
childbearing ages. Because of their sheer numbers, and because they are having children,
population in these countries continues to rise, even if they are reproducing at
replacement fertility levels. As a consequence, population momentum does not allow the
full effect of a lower PGR to be felt for several decades. The resulting larger population
imposes additional demands on a countrys social services, economy, and environment.]
- How might increasing urbanization affect environmental conditions in a country? [Increased
urbanization can result in increased consumption of natural resources such as trees for
lumber and fresh drinking water; more pollution which can affect air and water quality and
can have a negative effect on health conditions, wildlife, and vegetation; more
"crowding"; and fewer "green spaces".]
- To what extent does migration between your country and others, or from rural to urban
areas within your country affect your countrys economic, environmental, or social
situation? [Answers will vary.]
- What sorts of services and support can a government provide to its citizens that will
help slow the population growth rate? Explain why you think these strategies may help. [Governments
can increase education, especially for girls; offer better family planning services to
more people; provide medical insurance, pension plans, and social security; improve health
care and decrease infant mortality; and increase people's awareness of problems of rapidly
growing populations.]
- What might be some reasons why women with a basic education tend to have fewer children?
[They may be more aware of family planning options; they have have probably learned
about health, hygiene, and good nutrition, so more of their children survive; and they are
better qualified to work outside the home and earn money, so they have more options in
life and may choose to start families later and have fewer children.]
3. Calculate the annual population growth rate for countries A, B, and C using data
provided in the table below and this formula: *
Population increase
in a year |
÷ |
Population at
the start of
the year |
x |
100
|
= |
Annual population
growth rate (%) |
| |
Population
at the start
of the year |
Population
at the end
of the year |
Population
increase
during the
year |
Annual
population
growth
rate (%) |
| Country A |
22,000,000 |
22,400,000 |
[400,000] |
[1.8%] |
| Country B |
8,500,000 |
8,800,000 |
[300,000] |
[3.5%] |
| Country C |
400,000,000 |
410,000,000 |
[10,000,000] |
[2.5%] |
*
(Average annual population growth rates for a period of years provide a
better picture than annual rates. For this reason, they are used in the Data Table.
Calculating any growth rate for a period longer than a year requires more complicated
mathematical formulas than the one used to calculate an annual rate.)
4. Population growth rates are small numbers, but they have large effects on
population. To see what this means, complete the following exercises.
- Assume the world population at the beginning of 1999 was about 6 billion. If the
projected 2000 average annual population growth rate for the world was 1.1%, how many more
people would be added to the world by 2001. [66 million]
- If the 2000 world population grew at .2%, the same projected rate as the United Kingdom,
how many more people would be added to the world by 2001. [12 million]
- If the 2000 world population grew at 1.7%, the same projected rate as Kenya, how many
more people would be added to the world by 2001. [102 million]
- Use your answers to questions 3a,b, and c to make a general statement about the
relationship between population growth rates and the change in the size of a population. [Even
small changes in population growth rates have a significant impact upon the size of the
worlds population.]
5. Use the calculations and data in the table below to calculate the birth rates, death
rates, and population growth rates for three countries and fill in the missing
information.
Number of births
(%) |
÷ |
Population |
X |
100 |
= |
Birth rate |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Number of deaths (%) |
÷ |
Population |
X |
100 |
= |
Death rate |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Birth rate
(%) |
|
Death rate
(%) |
= |
Population
growth rate
(%) |
|
| |
Births |
Deaths |
Population |
Birth
rate |
Death
rate |
Population
growth rate |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Country A |
662,000 |
297,000 |
33,100,000 |
[2%] |
[0.9%] |
[1.1%] |
Country B |
411,000 |
191,800 |
27,400,000 |
[1.5%] |
[0.7%] |
[0.8%] |
Country C |
211,200 |
96,800 |
4,400,000 |
[4.8%] |
[2.2%] |
[2.6%] |
6. If a population growth rate is low, population is growing slowly. If it is high,
population is growing rapidly. To understand what "slow" and "rapid"
mean, it helps to look at how long it will take different countries growing at different
rates to double their population.
- The number of years it takes a population to double can be estimated by dividing the
number 70 by that population's growth rate. Calculate the doubling time of populations
growing at the rates shown in the key to the map. [Less than 1%,
70 years or more; 1% to 1.9%, between 70 and 36 years; 2% to 3%, between 35 and 23 years;
more than 3%, less than 23 years.]
- Is three percent a rapid growth rate? Explain. Is two percent a rapid growth rate?
Explain. Is one percent a rapid growth rate? Explain. [Answers will vary.]
- Use the projected population data in column 2 of the Social Data Tables
for 19982015 to calculate the population doubling time for these countries: your
country, Canada, Chile, Finland, India, Zambia. [Canada (70/.6 = 116 years); Chile
(70/1.1 = 64); Finland (70/.1 = 700) India (70/1.3 = 54); Zambia = (70/1.7 = 41)]
- Assume that your country has an average annual population growth rate of 1.8%. It will
take 39 years for your countrys population to double. What changes will your country
need to make to deal with this growth in population? Consider such issues as housing,
health care, food supplies, transportation, employment, education, and the environment. Do
you think your country presently has the resources to handle this rate of population
growth? Why or why not?
7. What consequences might a declining population growth rate have on a countrys
economy and environment? [This depends on a number of variables including the use of
technology and the level of demand for goods and services. Smaller populations may require
fewer natural resources, but if demand remains high, or if the country is able to export
its surplus production, there may be no significant decrease in overall environmental
impact. Slower population growth might allow a country to implement environmental policies
and develop the institutions which can help protect the environment. A smaller population
may mean that there will be fewer workers, and thus fewer goods and services (unless
technology helps to increase production).]
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