| The EFA 2000 Assessment: Country Reports | |
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| Mozambique |
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TABLE 7: Scenario I, projected recurrent and investment expenditures
Base Year |
|||||||||||
1996 |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
|
| Books and instructional materials | |||||||||||
| Provided for 33% of students and all teachers | 20.146,8 |
5.274,4 |
6.768,7 |
7.424,6 |
8.328,3 |
9.166,9 |
10.153,8 |
11.127,6 |
12.211,3 |
13.315,6 |
14.511,1 |
| Provided for 66% of students and all teachers | 20.146,8 |
10.742,5 |
13.309,7 |
14.696,7 |
16.411,4 |
18.119,7 |
20.029,1 |
21.981,0 |
24.098,5 |
26.295,4 |
28.643,8 |
| Provided for all students and all teachers | 20.146,8 |
18.144,0 |
20.049,0 |
22.189,2 |
24.739,5 |
27.343,7 |
30.203,7 |
33.163,3 |
36.346,0 |
39.668,6 |
43.204,8 |
| Non-salary expenditures | |||||||||||
| Primary schools (EP1 e EP2) | 1.944 |
2.092 |
2.261 |
2.492 |
2.783 |
3.145 |
3.563 |
4.034 |
4.572 |
5.183 |
5.864 |
| Salary expenditures | |||||||||||
| With no increase | 21.178,2 |
23.185,7 |
25.611,1 |
28.554,1 |
31.830,3 |
35.443,1 |
39.376,9 |
43.591,2 |
48.130,1 |
53.010,8 |
58.237,5 |
| With 2% real annual increase | 21.178,2 |
23.649,4 |
26.645,8 |
30.301,9 |
34.454,1 |
39.132,0 |
44.344,7 |
50.072,6 |
56.392,1 |
63.352,8 |
70.991,2 |
| With 4% real annual increase | 21.178,2 |
24.113,1 |
27.701,0 |
32.119,5 |
37.236,9 |
43.121,9 |
49.824,3 |
57.363,0 |
65.869,4 |
75.450,9 |
86.205,7 |
| Investment expenditures | |||||||||||
| Primary schools (EP1 e EP2) | 0 |
32.977 |
29.110 |
36.848 |
40.417 |
43.836 |
46.800 |
48.948 |
51.718 |
54.633 |
57.415 |
TABLE 8: Scenario II, projected recurrent and investment expenditures
Base Year |
|||||||||||
1996 |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
|
| Books and instructional materials | |||||||||||
| Provided for 33% of students and all teachers | 20.147 |
5.274 |
6.749 |
7.352 |
8.171 |
8.861 |
9.639 |
10.343 |
11.079 |
11.758 |
12.455 |
| Provided for 66% of students and all teachers | 20.147 |
10.742 |
13.271 |
14.554 |
16.101 |
17.518 |
19.014 |
20.433 |
21.865 |
23.223 |
24.586 |
| Provided for all students and all teachers | 20.147 |
18.144 |
19.990 |
21.974 |
24.271 |
26.437 |
28.672 |
30.829 |
32.977 |
35.034 |
37.085 |
| Non-salary expenditures | |||||||||||
| Primary schools (EP1 e EP2) | 1.944 |
2.092 |
2.258 |
2.480 |
2.758 |
3.096 |
3.481 |
3.904 |
4.371 |
4.883 |
5.426 |
| Salary expenditures | |||||||||||
| With no increase | 21.178 |
23.186 |
25.555 |
28.350 |
31.389 |
34.580 |
37.909 |
41.328 |
44.809 |
48.361 |
51.976 |
| With 2% real annual increase | 21.178 |
23.649 |
26.587 |
30.085 |
33.976 |
38.179 |
42.691 |
47.473 |
52.501 |
57.795 |
63.359 |
| With 4% real annual increase | 21.178 |
24.113 |
27.640 |
31.889 |
36.721 |
42.072 |
47.966 |
54.385 |
61.324 |
68.832 |
76.937 |
| Investment expenditures | |||||||||||
| Primary schools (EP1 e EP2) | 0 |
32.977 |
28.123 |
34.396 |
36.692 |
37.468 |
38.076 |
37.932 |
37.605 |
37.532 |
37.311 |
TABLE 9: Cost projections, Caixa Escolar
| Base Year | |||||||||||
1996 |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
|
| Scenario I | |||||||||||
| Books and materials provided for 33% of students and all teachers | |||||||||||
| EP1 | 17.977,2 |
4.951,4 |
6.253,9 |
6.853,7 |
7.676,3 |
8.405,0 |
9.264,5 |
10.094,1 |
11.003,8 |
11.903,8 |
12.870,2 |
| EP2 | 2.169,5 |
322,9 |
514,8 |
570,9 |
652,0 |
761,9 |
889,4 |
1.033,6 |
1.207,5 |
1.411,8 |
1.640,9 |
| Total | 20.146,8 |
5.274,4 |
6.768,7 |
7.424,6 |
8.328,3 |
9.166,9 |
10.153,8 |
11.127,6 |
12.211,3 |
13.315,6 |
14.511,1 |
| Books and materials provided for 66% of students and all teachers | |||||||||||
| EP1 | 17.977,2 |
10.066,4 |
12.285,2 |
13.560,8 |
15.114,5 |
16.604,5 |
18.260,7 |
19.925,7 |
21.697,3 |
23.488,0 |
25.380,8 |
| EP2 | 2.169,5 |
676,1 |
1.024,5 |
1.136,0 |
1.296,9 |
1.515,2 |
1.768,4 |
2.055,3 |
2.401,2 |
2.807,4 |
3.263,0 |
| Total | 20.146,8 |
10.742,5 |
13.309,7 |
14.696,7 |
16.411,4 |
18.119,7 |
20.029,1 |
21.981,0 |
24.098,5 |
26.295,4 |
28.643,8 |
| Books and materials provided for all students and all teachers | |||||||||||
| EP1 | 17.977,2 |
16.692,8 |
18.499,3 |
20.471,1 |
22.778,1 |
25.052,5 |
27.529,5 |
30.055,2 |
32.715,0 |
35.423,3 |
38.270,6 |
| EP2 | 2.169,5 |
1.451,2 |
1.549,7 |
1.718,1 |
1.961,4 |
2.291,2 |
2.674,2 |
3.108,1 |
3.631,0 |
4.245,3 |
4.934,2 |
| Total | 20.146,8 |
18.144,0 |
20.049,0 |
22.189,2 |
24.739,5 |
27.343,7 |
30.203,7 |
33.163,3 |
36.346,0 |
39.668,6 |
43.204,8 |
| Scenario II | |||||||||||
| Books and materials provided for 33% of students and all teachers | |||||||||||
| EP1 | 17.977,2 |
4.951,4 |
6.233,8 |
6.780,8 |
7.518,6 |
8.099,6 |
8.749,6 |
9.312,0 |
9.882,9 |
10.375,2 |
10.874,1 |
| EP2 | 2.169,5 |
322,9 |
514,8 |
570,9 |
652,0 |
761,9 |
889,4 |
1.031,2 |
1.196,3 |
1.383,2 |
1.580,8 |
| Total | 20.146,8 |
5.274,4 |
6.748,6 |
7.351,7 |
8.170,6 |
8.861,5 |
9.638,9 |
10.343,2 |
11.079,2 |
11.758,3 |
12.454,9 |
| Books and materials provided for 66% of students and all teachers | |||||||||||
| EP1 | 17.977,2 |
10.066,4 |
12.246,1 |
13.417,6 |
14.803,8 |
16.002,7 |
17.245,2 |
18.382,9 |
19.485,9 |
20.471,9 |
21.442,3 |
| EP2 | 2.169,5 |
676,1 |
1.024,5 |
1.136,0 |
1.296,9 |
1.515,2 |
1.768,4 |
2.050,6 |
2.379,0 |
2.750,6 |
3.143,7 |
| Total | 20.146,8 |
10.742,5 |
13.270,6 |
14.553,5 |
16.100,7 |
17.517,8 |
19.013,6 |
20.433,5 |
21.864,8 |
23.222,5 |
24.586,1 |
| Books and materials provided for all students and all teachers | |||||||||||
| EP1 | 17.977,2 |
16.692,8 |
18.440,5 |
20.255,5 |
22.309,7 |
24.145,3 |
25.998,2 |
27.728,6 |
29.379,8 |
30.874,6 |
32.330,8 |
| EP2 | 2.169,5 |
1.451,2 |
1.549,7 |
1.718,1 |
1.961,4 |
2.291,2 |
2.674,2 |
3.100,9 |
3.597,5 |
4.159,5 |
4.754,1 |
| Total | 20.146,8 |
18.144,0 |
19.990,2 |
21.973,6 |
24.271,1 |
26.436,5 |
28.672,4 |
30.829,5 |
32.977,3 |
35.034,1 |
37.084,9 |
TABLE 10: Estimates of GDP, Government Expenditure, and Expenditure on Education, 1997-2002
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
|
| Annual rate of growth in GDP | 7,0% |
7,6% |
7,5% |
5,6% |
6,2% |
4,4% |
| Projected GDP (10^9 MZM) | 20.578 |
22.018 |
23.692 |
25.468 |
26.895 |
28.562 |
| Government’s expenditures as a percentage of GDP | 18,0% |
16,6% |
16,1% |
15,8% |
15,4% |
15,2% |
| Value of Government’s recurrent expenditures (10^9 MZM) | 3.704 |
3.655 |
3.814 |
4.024 |
4.142 |
4.341 |
| Percentage of recurrent expenditure on education | 14,1% |
15,1% |
16,1% |
17,1% |
18,1% |
19,1% |
| Value of recurrent expenditure on education (10^9 MZM) | 523,9 |
551,9 |
614,1 |
688,1 |
749,7 |
829,2 |
| Value of recurrent expenditure on education (10^6 USD) | 45,6 |
48,0 |
53,4 |
59,8 |
65,2 |
72,1 |
| Value of investment expenditure on education (10^6 USD) | 4,2 |
4,2 |
4,2 |
4,2 |
4,2 |
4,2 |
| Total expenditure on education (10^6 USD) | 49,8 |
52,2 |
57,6 |
64,0 |
69,4 |
76,3 |
Sources: GDP and 1997 Budget, Ministério das Finanças, Orçamento Geral do Estado.
GDP Growth and Change in Recurrent Budget Shares, World Bank and IMF estimates.
Notes: Estimates of recurrent and investment expenditure on education exclude higher education.
Exchange rate: 1 USD = 11.500MT
END