The EFA 2000 Assessment: Country Reports Homepage of the World Education Forum
   Mozambique
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TABLE 7: Scenario I, projected recurrent and investment expenditures

Base Year

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Books and instructional materials
Provided for 33% of students and all teachers

20.146,8

5.274,4

6.768,7

7.424,6

8.328,3

9.166,9

10.153,8

11.127,6

12.211,3

13.315,6

14.511,1

Provided for 66% of students and all teachers

20.146,8

10.742,5

13.309,7

14.696,7

16.411,4

18.119,7

20.029,1

21.981,0

24.098,5

26.295,4

28.643,8

Provided for all students and all teachers

20.146,8

18.144,0

20.049,0

22.189,2

24.739,5

27.343,7

30.203,7

33.163,3

36.346,0

39.668,6

43.204,8

Non-salary expenditures
Primary schools (EP1 e EP2)

1.944

2.092

2.261

2.492

2.783

3.145

3.563

4.034

4.572

5.183

5.864

Salary expenditures
With no increase

21.178,2

23.185,7

25.611,1

28.554,1

31.830,3

35.443,1

39.376,9

43.591,2

48.130,1

53.010,8

58.237,5

With 2% real annual increase

21.178,2

23.649,4

26.645,8

30.301,9

34.454,1

39.132,0

44.344,7

50.072,6

56.392,1

63.352,8

70.991,2

With 4% real annual increase

21.178,2

24.113,1

27.701,0

32.119,5

37.236,9

43.121,9

49.824,3

57.363,0

65.869,4

75.450,9

86.205,7

Investment expenditures
Primary schools (EP1 e EP2)

0

32.977

29.110

36.848

40.417

43.836

46.800

48.948

51.718

54.633

57.415

TABLE 8: Scenario II, projected recurrent and investment expenditures

Base Year

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Books and instructional materials
Provided for 33% of students and all teachers

20.147

5.274

6.749

7.352

8.171

8.861

9.639

10.343

11.079

11.758

12.455

Provided for 66% of students and all teachers

20.147

10.742

13.271

14.554

16.101

17.518

19.014

20.433

21.865

23.223

24.586

Provided for all students and all teachers

20.147

18.144

19.990

21.974

24.271

26.437

28.672

30.829

32.977

35.034

37.085

Non-salary expenditures
Primary schools (EP1 e EP2)

1.944

2.092

2.258

2.480

2.758

3.096

3.481

3.904

4.371

4.883

5.426

Salary expenditures
With no increase

21.178

23.186

25.555

28.350

31.389

34.580

37.909

41.328

44.809

48.361

51.976

With 2% real annual increase

21.178

23.649

26.587

30.085

33.976

38.179

42.691

47.473

52.501

57.795

63.359

With 4% real annual increase

21.178

24.113

27.640

31.889

36.721

42.072

47.966

54.385

61.324

68.832

76.937

Investment expenditures
Primary schools (EP1 e EP2)

0

32.977

28.123

34.396

36.692

37.468

38.076

37.932

37.605

37.532

37.311

 TABLE 9: Cost projections, Caixa Escolar

Base Year

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Scenario I
Books and materials provided for 33% of students and all teachers
EP1

17.977,2

4.951,4

6.253,9

6.853,7

7.676,3

8.405,0

9.264,5

10.094,1

11.003,8

11.903,8

12.870,2

EP2

2.169,5

322,9

514,8

570,9

652,0

761,9

889,4

1.033,6

1.207,5

1.411,8

1.640,9

Total

20.146,8

5.274,4

6.768,7

7.424,6

8.328,3

9.166,9

10.153,8

11.127,6

12.211,3

13.315,6

14.511,1

Books and materials provided for 66% of students and all teachers
EP1

17.977,2

10.066,4

12.285,2

13.560,8

15.114,5

16.604,5

18.260,7

19.925,7

21.697,3

23.488,0

25.380,8

EP2

2.169,5

676,1

1.024,5

1.136,0

1.296,9

1.515,2

1.768,4

2.055,3

2.401,2

2.807,4

3.263,0

Total

20.146,8

10.742,5

13.309,7

14.696,7

16.411,4

18.119,7

20.029,1

21.981,0

24.098,5

26.295,4

28.643,8

Books and materials provided for all students and all teachers
EP1

17.977,2

16.692,8

18.499,3

20.471,1

22.778,1

25.052,5

27.529,5

30.055,2

32.715,0

35.423,3

38.270,6

EP2

2.169,5

1.451,2

1.549,7

1.718,1

1.961,4

2.291,2

2.674,2

3.108,1

3.631,0

4.245,3

4.934,2

Total

20.146,8

18.144,0

20.049,0

22.189,2

24.739,5

27.343,7

30.203,7

33.163,3

36.346,0

39.668,6

43.204,8

Scenario II
Books and materials provided for 33% of students and all teachers
EP1

17.977,2

4.951,4

6.233,8

6.780,8

7.518,6

8.099,6

8.749,6

9.312,0

9.882,9

10.375,2

10.874,1

EP2

2.169,5

322,9

514,8

570,9

652,0

761,9

889,4

1.031,2

1.196,3

1.383,2

1.580,8

Total

20.146,8

5.274,4

6.748,6

7.351,7

8.170,6

8.861,5

9.638,9

10.343,2

11.079,2

11.758,3

12.454,9

Books and materials provided for 66% of students and all teachers
EP1

17.977,2

10.066,4

12.246,1

13.417,6

14.803,8

16.002,7

17.245,2

18.382,9

19.485,9

20.471,9

21.442,3

EP2

2.169,5

676,1

1.024,5

1.136,0

1.296,9

1.515,2

1.768,4

2.050,6

2.379,0

2.750,6

3.143,7

Total

20.146,8

10.742,5

13.270,6

14.553,5

16.100,7

17.517,8

19.013,6

20.433,5

21.864,8

23.222,5

24.586,1

Books and materials provided for all students and all teachers
EP1

17.977,2

16.692,8

18.440,5

20.255,5

22.309,7

24.145,3

25.998,2

27.728,6

29.379,8

30.874,6

32.330,8

EP2

2.169,5

1.451,2

1.549,7

1.718,1

1.961,4

2.291,2

2.674,2

3.100,9

3.597,5

4.159,5

4.754,1

Total

20.146,8

18.144,0

19.990,2

21.973,6

24.271,1

26.436,5

28.672,4

30.829,5

32.977,3

35.034,1

37.084,9

TABLE 10: Estimates of GDP, Government Expenditure, and Expenditure on Education, 1997-2002

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

Annual rate of growth in GDP

7,0%

7,6%

7,5%

5,6%

6,2%

4,4%

Projected GDP (10^9 MZM)

20.578

22.018

23.692

25.468

26.895

28.562

Government’s expenditures as a percentage of GDP

18,0%

16,6%

16,1%

15,8%

15,4%

15,2%

Value of Government’s recurrent expenditures (10^9 MZM)

3.704

3.655

3.814

4.024

4.142

4.341

Percentage of recurrent expenditure on education

14,1%

15,1%

16,1%

17,1%

18,1%

19,1%

Value of recurrent expenditure on education (10^9 MZM)

523,9

551,9

614,1

688,1

749,7

829,2

Value of recurrent expenditure on education (10^6 USD)

45,6

48,0

53,4

59,8

65,2

72,1

Value of investment expenditure on education (10^6 USD)

4,2

4,2

4,2

4,2

4,2

4,2

Total expenditure on education (10^6 USD)

49,8

52,2

57,6

64,0

69,4

76,3

Sources: GDP and 1997 Budget, Ministério das Finanças, Orçamento Geral do Estado.

GDP Growth and Change in Recurrent Budget Shares, World Bank and IMF estimates.

Notes: Estimates of recurrent and investment expenditure on education exclude higher education.

Exchange rate: 1 USD = 11.500MT

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